IM: Gentlemen, as I watch the Mueller
investigation play out, I just can’t help but to think how sinister it seems. Lavrentiy
Beria comes to mind.
AM: I hear you, IM. I am trying to understand what is going on
with the so-called deep state
conspiracy theory. There is a constant
24/7 push to delegitimize President Trump.
We have the Mueller investigation, a new Woodward book, and now an
anonymous op-ed article by an alleged highly placed senior administration
official working for President Trump. Is
there a logical thread that connects all this activity?
Old Gadfly: If one takes the time to clearly examine
facts within a well-defined context, then, yes there is a thread that actually violates
logic.
IM:
What the heck does that mean?
Old Gadfly: First, we need to refresh our minds as to what a
syllogism is when understanding argumentation.
Here is a definition of syllogism from philosophyterms.com:
A syllogism is a systematic
representation of a single logical inference.
It has three parts: a major
premise, a minor premise, and a conclusion.
·
The major premise contains a term from the
predicate of the conclusion.
·
The minor premise contains a term from the
subject of the conclusion.
·
The conclusion combines the major and minor
premise with a ‘therefore’ symbol (∴).
When all the premises are true
and the syllogism is correctly constructed, a syllogism is an ironclad logical
argument.
Let’s now apply this system to
the Mueller investigation. Keep in mind
that an investigation such as this is based on a predicate, that is, a law was
broken. The predicate in this case is
that President Trump colluded with Russia to influence the outcome of the 2016
Presidential election. So, lets map this
out as a syllogism.
Deputy Attorney General Rob
Rosenstein appointed Robert Mueller as special counsel to investigate Russian
collusion by President Trump and other members of the Trump presidential
campaign. So, what is the predicate for
the major premise? Based on DNC hacking
evidence, there was collusion with Russia to influence the outcome of the 2016
Presidential election. The subject of
the conclusion is the minor premise:
Trump or members of the Trump presidential campaign colluded with
Russia. This is the way to map it:
Major premise: Based on DNC hacking evidence, there was
collusion with Russia to influence the outcome of the 2016 Presidential
election.
Minor premise: Trump or members of the Trump presidential
campaign colluded with Russia.
Conclusion: Trump or members of the Trump presidential
campaign, based on DNC hacking evidence, colluded with Russia to
influence the outcome of the 2016 Presidential election.
But what is wrong about this
syllogism?
AM: At least two facts make the syllogism suspect. First, collusion is not a crime. Second, the DNC hacking evidence is far from certain.
IM: The intelligence community, led by James
Clapper and John Brennan, have publicly claimed the intelligence community has
evidence.
Old
Gadfly: Of all the friends
I have quizzed when asking them what exactly the evidence was, they did not
know. They simply took the word of
Clapper and Brennan. So, exactly what was the evidence?
IM: That Russia hacked into the servers of the
Democratic National Committee (DNC) and shared this information with Wikileaks
to influence the election in Trump’s favor.
Old
Gadfly: Yes, that is what
they have claimed in the public narrative.
This so-called evidence conditions
the major premise in the syllogism:
Russia influenced the outcome of the 2016 Presidential election. However, how does the intelligence community
know Russia hacked into the servers?
Didn’t the FBI offer to examine the servers for forensic evidence?
AM: Yes, they did, and the DNC refused any access
to the servers by the FBI. Instead, the
DNC hired a private firm called CrowdStrike
to do the investigation. This action then
further protected the DNC in its claims Wikileaks received DNC material from
Russian hackers. Wikileaks’ Julian Assange
denies Russia was involved, that he received the material from another
source. Some (called conspiracy
theorists by the left) believe Seth Rich, a young DNC staff member, may have
been involved in assisting Wikileaks.
But now he is dead, in an apparent assassination, and his laptop has
disappeared. This incident made a minor
entry into the public narrative and has completely disappeared.
Old
Gadfly: Obviously, the so-called
evidence is dubious and makes this version
of the Trump collusion syllogism weak. We
cannot say the major premise in the syllogism is true. Therefore, we cannot say the conclusion is
true. Could the syllogism be
reconstructed to build a stronger argument to weaken Trump’s legitimacy as
president?
IM: How about the dossier that led to four FISA
court warrants for surveillance?
Old
Gadfly: The syllogism would then be reconstructed with
the same conclusion slightly modified, such as Trump or other members of the
presidential campaign colluded with Russia, based on dossier evidence, to
influence the outcome of the 2016 Presidential election.
AM: Again, let’s examine the doubtful nature of
the dossier. The dossier was developed
under contract for millions of dollars with GPS Fusion by the DNC and the
Clinton campaign. The effort involved collaboration
with a British spy and Russian contacts.
Nothing in the dossier has been validated, but it was the basis for
justifying four FISA surveillance warrants of members of the Trump presidential
campaign. This was a fraudulent attempt
to find incriminating information. Fraud,
on the other hand, is a crime. Given
these circumstances a far different syllogism can be constructed:
Major premise: There was manufactured evidence involving foreign
collusion to influence the outcome of the 2016 Presidential election.
Minor premise: The DNC and the Clinton campaign were
involved in manufacturing evidence.
Conclusion: The DNC and Clinton campaign manufactured
evidence involving foreign collusion to influence the outcome of the 2016
Presidential election.
Old
Gadfly: This
syllogism seems far more plausible.
Unfortunately, the earlier syllogism still drives the Mueller
investigation, chalking upon worthless victories by destroying numerous lives
in the process. The Mueller effort,
combined with other efforts such as the Woodward book (Note: Woodward works for The Washington Post,
which is now owned by progressive billionaire Jeff Bezos) and the recent
anonymous op-ed letter actually represent an Orwellian dynamic predicted by
Walter Cronkite in 1983. Perhaps
somewhat chastened by his mischaracterization of the Tet Offensive in 1968
while working for CBS, Cronkite provided the following Preface to a 1983
edition of Orwell’s 1984 (the
following are excerpts from the Preface):
Seldom has a book provided a
greater wealth of symbols for its age and for the generations to follow, and seldom
have literary symbols been invested with such power. How is that?
Because they were so useful, and because the features of the world he
drew, outlandish as they were, also were familiar.
They are familiar today, they were
familiar when the book was first published in 1949. We’ve met Big Brother in Stalin and Hitler
and Khomeini. We hear Newspeak in every
use of language to manipulate, deceive, to cover harsh realities with the soft
snow of euphemism. And every time a
political leader expects or demands that we believe the absurd, we experience
that mental process Orwell called doublethink.
From the show trials of the pre-war Soviet Union to the dungeon courts
of post-revolutionary Iran, 1984’s
vision of justice as foregone conclusion is familiar to us all. As soon as we were introduced to such things,
we realized we had always known them.
. . . If not prophecy, what
was 1984? It was, as many have noticed, a warning: a warning about the future of human freedom
in a world where political organization and technology can manufacture power in
dimensions that would have stunned the imagination of earlier ages.
. . . 1984
is
an anguished lament and a warning that we may not be strong enough nor wise
enough nor moral enough to cope with the kind of power we have learned to
amass. That warning vibrates powerfully
when we allow ourselves to sit still and think carefully about orbiting
satellites that can read the license plates in a parking lot and computers that
can tap into thousands of telephone calls and telex transmissions at once and
computers that can do our banking and purchasing, can watch the house and tell
a monitoring station what television program we are watching and how many
people there are in the room. We think
of Orwell when we read of scientists who believe they have located in the human brain the seats of behavioral emotions like
aggression, or learn more about the vast potential of genetic engineering.
And we hear echoes of that
warning chord in the constant demand for greater security and comfort, for less
risk in our societies. We recognize,
however dimly, that greater efficiency, ease, and security may come at a
substantial price in freedom, that law and order can be a doublethink version
of oppression, that individual liberties surrendered for whatever good reason
are freedom lost.
This preface was written 35 years ago. Its prescience should frighten us. Think about what he is saying:
· “use of language to manipulate, deceive, to
cover harsh realities with the soft snow of euphemism.” When
Comey laid out the case for all the laws broken by candidate Clinton, he euphemized
the harsh reality with the claim there was no intent to break the law, as if
the actions do not imply intent.
·
“And every time a political leader expects or demands
that we believe the absurd, we experience that mental process Orwell called
doublethink.” The notion that Trump
demands the absurd has been manufactured by a leftist cabal in the public
narrative, to which Trump is compelled to counter in his tweets. The outrage about separating children at the
border is based on law established prior to Trump’s administration. Trump is accused of operating above the law,
but what laws has he broken? Mueller is
still investigating whomever he wants based on fraudulent grounds. When single Federal judges stopped Trump’s
travel ban, he honored the injunctions until overruled by a superior court. Instead of unconstitutionally legislating on
immigration as his predecessor did, Trump wants Congress to solve this
issue. Many on the left want us to think
Trump is the fascist president Sinclair Lewis painted in his novel, It Can’t Happen Here. Fascism is a socialistic manifestation. Trump is promoting the importance of our
Constitutional Republic based on classical liberalism and Judeo-Christian
values. His opponents are pushing for secular
humanistic socialism.
· “From the show trials of the pre-war Soviet
Union to the dungeon courts of post-revolutionary Iran, 1984’s vision of justice as foregone conclusion is familiar to us
all.” Raiding the President’s personal
attorney’s offices and then prosecuting him for charges unrelated to the scope
of the investigation makes for great press.
Even those who have not faced indictment suffer greatly from legal
expenses when faced by Mueller and his politically-motivated henchmen. Of course, these tactics are not new. Joseph Stalin’s chief of the Soviet security and secret police apparatus,
Lavrentiy Beria, claimed: “Show me the man and I’ll find you the crime.” Ironically, the so-called Trump Tower meeting
focused on the Magnitsky Act. The press
had no interest in the subject—only the alleged Russia collusion to get dirt on
candidate Clinton. Read Red Notice by Bill Bowden about how his
attorney Sergei Magnitsky had his law offices raided, with all documents and
computers confiscated, then jailed on fabricated tax evasion charges, tortured,
then murdered by Russian authorities. We
know more about these circumstances than those surrounding Seth Rich’s
assassination.
· “a warning about the future of human freedom in
a world where political organization and technology can manufacture power in
dimensions that would have stunned the imagination of earlier ages.” Friends, this speaks to the deep state. Unelected elites who pen anonymous op-eds
published by news sources that openly defy a duly elected President. The evidence hides behind veils of euphemisms. Who would believe investigative material from
such individuals as U.S. Representative Louis Gohmert, who can only publish his
work through another digital
source?
AM: I served my country for several decades. I stood for something. I swore to support and defend the Constitution
of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic. There is no doubt that in 2018, the greatest
threat to America is domestic. It is a
deep state of political elite that want to fundamentally transform America. This faction is anti-America. Its patriotism is to a future utopia that is
the basis of progressivism. Nikita Khrushchev
predicted this political manifestation in 1957 at the National Press Club:
. . . I can
prophesy that your grandchildren in America will live under socialism.
And please do not be afraid of that. Your grandchildren will not
understand how their grandparents did not understand the progressive nature of
a socialist society.
Old
Gadfly: Americans better wake up regarding the
syllogism of a political coup underway and its fraudulent deception of the
American people, and have the courage to preserve our Constitutional
Republic. We can do this peacefully in
the midterm elections. As citizens of a
just society, we should also demand accountability for those conspiring to
destroy a duly elected President.