Old
Gadfly: Gentlemen, earlier this week we
suggested President Obama is fiddling, that is, political campaigning while
America and the rest of the world are burning.
Today, Secretary Kerry went on most or all of the Sunday talk shows to
defend the fiddling. Of course, I
pictured my daughter learning to hit a baseball with the ball sitting on a stationary
tee when David Gregory kicked the interview off with Obama’s criticism of his
predecessor in his book, The Audacity of
Hope.
AM (an
American combat aviator with an inquiring mind): Gregory sets the stage by suggesting Obama’s
grasp of foreign policy is superior to Bush because Obama says so. What a joke.
If this were Jeopardy, and the emcee asked to whom this quote was
directed among the 43 American presidents, I suspect most sufficiently educated
contestants would say either Jimmy Carter or Barack Obama. Yes, bin Laden is
dead (technically a battlefield execution in violation of international law and
norms) but Islamic extremists are proliferating. A President with superior judgment regarding
foreign policy might have demonstrated the courage to actually apprehend bin
Laden to put him on public trial.
Old
Gadfly: Do you think much could have
resulted from such a public trial?
AM: Do you remember the Scopes trial? While it pitted religion against science, in
the end it demonstrated the power of ideology—whether it be religious or
scientific dogma. A bin Laden trial
could have put such ideology on trial.
That’s what our war on terrorism is all about. And now we see a caliphate emerging in portions
of Syria and Iraq.
Old
Gadfly: Why do you think this option was
not considered?
AM: There would be no political capital to be
gained from a trial. But to declare “bin
Laden is dead” made for great political capital in election campaigns.
Old
Gadfly: That’s interesting. When President Bush exercised bipartisan Congressional authority to invade Iraq in
2003, his popularity was nearly 90% and I remember seeing members of Congress,
both Democrat and Republican, holding hands to demonstrate national unity.
Within a year after the invasion, harsh criticism from Democrats and the
left-leaning media began. I offered an
op-ed to the Wall Street Journal that attempted to explain the quick reversal
by the left-wing. I called it the
political dilemma (a spinoff of the prisoner’s dilemma used in game
theory). In the article I explained that
if Bush were successful in achieving stability in Iraq and the region, this
would result in significant political capital for Bush and by association the
Republican Party. This would not be good
for Democrats. Thus, the left-wing undermined
Bush’s effort in Iraq. To Democrats, the
outcome must be win-lose—Democrats win and Republicans lose. If this outcome is not achievable, then the
alternative outcome needs to be lose-lose. If
Democrats cannot win, then by God, Republicans won’t win either. In the Iraq scenario, this tactical objective
was achieved (Democrats eventually won large majorities in both houses of Congress). But
not part of the political calculus was a strategic major win for the terrorists
and insurgents in Iraq--as we see in Syria and Iraq today. I am terribly
disappointed when I hear or read people
say today’s circumstances in Iraq are based on conditions established by the
Bush Administration. The Bush
Administration had to fight a two-front war, the one against Iraqi insurgents and
the other against political opposition on the home-front.
Democrats demonstrate more animus towards conservative Republicans than
they do against militant jihadists/Islamists. As they
say in the Middle East, an enemy of my enemy is my friend.
IM
(an American citizen with an inquiring mind):
Well, Kerry
did defend Obama’s foreign policy by laying out what he called “facts,” such
as Obama’s team is far more engaged in foreign affairs than any predecessor.
AM: Some, I for one, would argue “being engaged”
in this case is more accurately described as ”tampering,” or if you prefer, “fiddling,”
with existing norms and traditions that produced stability in the international
system. For example, the left euphemistically
referred to the eruption of chaos in northern Africa and the Middle East as “the
Arab Spring.” This happened under Obama’s
watch. How would anyone celebrate the
Arab Spring today? Yes, North Korea is
quiet for now—wow! I’m sure any North
Korean that is not a member of the government appreciates that consoling
thought. China continues to advance its
strategic reach militarily, while America mothballs equipment and gives folks
pink slips. Then, there is Putin and the
Ukraine situation.
Old
Gadfly: Watch
and listen to (or read the transcript
of) to Kerry’s outrage about the Malaysian airliner shoot-down.
IM: Amazing . . . utterly amazing. Here are some incredible statements by Kerry:
·
So
there's a stacking up of evidence here, which Russia needs to help account for.
We are not drawing the final conclusion here. But there is a lot that points and
the need for Russia to be responsible. And what President Obama believes and
we, the international community, join in believing, everybody is convinced we
must have unfettered access.
·
And the
lack of access, the lack of access, David, makes its own statement about
culpability and responsibility.
Old
Gadfly: What is the significance and
irony of these statements?
IM: The “stacking up of evidence,” a lot of
points and the need . . . to be responsible,” “we must have unfettered access,”
“the lack of access makes its own statement about culpability and
responsibility.” Yes, there were nearly
300 casualties (to include some Americans) in the airliner shoot-down and the
killing of innocents demands culpability.
Yet, in our own country, we see an Administration that seems well beyond
culpability when we hear about hundreds
of Mexicans being killed from weapons involved in the Fast and Furious
operation. Erik Holder refused to completely
cooperate with Congress in its investigation, getting top cover through Obama’s
use of executive privilege TO DENY UNFETTERED ACCESS to evidence. How about the IRS scandal (to censor opposing
voices)—Lois Lerner’s invoking the Fifth Amendment as a public servant, the
loss of emails, and other points or “stacking up of evidence” that suggest
deliberate efforts to deny unfettered access?
And while there are certainly other notable examples, the same critics
of Russian attempts to delete social media information regarding who was
involved with the Malaysian airliner shoot-down, accuse critics of Administration
motives for blaming a video for the attacks at Benghazi as conspiracy
theorists, right-wingers, or extremists.
Many of these same critics deride those who watch Fox News as a leading and reliable source to learn about many of
these points that become a “stacking up of evidence.” Of course, if you don’t get an alternative
narrative, then the only narrative one knows is reality, even if it’s not true. Many people in other parts of the world only
get the narrative the state wants them to know, such as in North Korea, many
parts of the Middle East, and so forth.
AM: Recall our recent discussion, “Yes We Can!” The Obama Administration wants to control the
narrative to distract Americans from knowing about the need for culpability in
our own nation.
IM: For those who believe in immortal culpability
(and accountability well beyond the state), there is great wisdom in Matthew
7:3: "Why do you look at the speck
of sawdust in your brother's eye and pay no attention to the plank in your own
eye? (New International Version)”
Gadfly,
ReplyDeleteInteresting but I have to disagree when it comes to a bin Laden trial: 1) where would it be held? No amount of security would be able to keep the fanatics at bay; 2) to what end? bin Laden would have used it as a "platform" to "inspire" the radicals; 3) if you think a movie, book or burning of a Kuran sets them off what do you thing a prolonged trial would have done? My guess is hundreds of non-believes would have been killed around the world - the radicals have no morals - any excuse to attack non- believers is a good reason. We're better off without him and not allowing a burial so he could have been treated like a martyr is one of the few things Obama got right.
Cheers,
A Friend
Friend,
DeleteIt is great to hear from you and to get some solid counterarguments. Here is how I would respond to your arguments:
Where? Mecca or Medina with the caveat that most Muslims are proclaimed to be peaceful and that the militant jihadists/Islamists pervert the ideology of Islam for the billions of peace-loving Muslims. Take the trial to the center of gravity for the ideology. This would be an opportunity to walk the talk.
Platform concern? The messaging has to be transmitted. Monitoring news reports/Internet/social media traffic and its targeted audiences indicates markets that are susceptible. This simplifies intelligence gathering and generates opportunities to anticipate responses/actions. It also is an opportunity for Muslims to get alternative narratives, especially those who want and appreciate liberty. The left-leaning media and political factions buried Bush's War on Terrorism strategy. It is unfortunate because what played out in Iraq was an example of how his global strategy was working--in a nutshell, he wanted to take terrorism from a global threat to a regional threat, then to a state level (law enforcement) threat. Iraq had shifted the global manifestation to a regional one--with non-Iraqi insurgents/terrorists swarming into Iraq. The entire strategy is available at http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/60172.pdf.
One more point on the platform. From an American perspective, bin Laden was directly responsible for 3,000+ casualties. Adolph Eichmann was responsible for six to 15 MILLION. Yet the Israeli nation did not assassinate him. They returned him to Israel to face public trial. It took nine months, but eventually he was convicted and sentenced to death. This is similar to how things played out for Saddam Hussein (who also incidentally was directly responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths). It wouldn't be easy to "properly prosecute" someone like bin Laden, but the only way we can defeat this threat is head-on. John Warden's air campaign strategy for the First Persian Gulf war targeted leadership and command and control as the most efficient way of defeating the enemy. Hussein was both the leader and the ideology (i.e., pure Fascism in the image of Nazi Germany). In the case of jihadist/militant Islamists, leaders are mere symbols of the actual organizing force--ideology. Until we target the ideology, leaders will replace leaders, and terrorists will continue to recruit, train, and resource their jihadists.
Regarding the burial, the skeptic in me suspects "photographs" of the evidence would have outraged terrorists and Americans because I have read from various sources that bin Laden was Swiss cheese after entire clips of ammunition were emptied into his body, especially head shots. I'm a big fan of our special forces--but sometimes adrenalin can overcome the sanest of individuals. A burial at sea seemed to be an expedient solution. I have yet to read about any other terrorist leaders being buried at sea.
Thank you for the excellent counterarguments. I look forward to hearing more.
Cheers,
Gadfly
Gadfly,
DeleteUnlike the German and Iraq situations where the Nation States were defeated, so "trials" could be done in a controlled environment - we have not defeated the Islamic enemy and probably never will so the threat of horrific actions surrounding a trial would be real and unavoidable. Not worth the risk - probability of converting a radical based on theological discussion is slim and none in my opinion.
Cheers,
A Friend
Friend,
DeleteYou make a good case based on the Nation-State model. One of the developments I have observed has been the weakening of the Westphalian notion of the Nation-State system, where sovereignty was sacred. Our attack on bin Laden involved penetrating the sovereign space of Pakistan, without permission or approval. We see drone attacks in the sovereign space of other Nation-States, even against American citizens without due process of law, another once key feature of the American Nation-State model.
While he was harshly rebuked by fellow academics for his views, political scientist Samuel Huntington anticipated emerging circumstances in his controversial book, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. Frankly, Huntington was ostracized from the intellectual class because his views were politically incorrect. Do we not see a contest between a civilization that is shaped and constrained by Islamic Sharia Law versus another that is a Judeo-Christian-based Western civilization? One civilization seems trapped in 7th Century customs and traditions. The other welcomes new customs and traditions, adapting to changing circumstances to enable actual human progress. This is a contest the Western civilization cannot simply trust will wither on the vine. The toxic grapes on this vine are actively cultivated, and the champions for this way of life believe it should be universal, whether voluntary or coerced.
Cheers,
Gadfly